Obermatt

Flags

Financial distress

Vistra Energy

NYQ:VST · US92840M1027
Independent Power and Renewable Electricity ProducersLarge

360

92
EV / EBIT80
Price / Owner Earnings21
Owner Earnings Yield74
Dividend Yield37
Price/Sales58
EV / Gross Profit70
Price/Book11
Return on Capital97
Cash Return on Capital96
Return on Equity100
EBIT Margin65
Gross Profitability97
Cash Conversion29
Accruals34
Owner Earnings Margin70
Sales growth91
Profit Growth87
Long-Term EPS Growth96
Owner Earnings Growth49
Reinvestment31
Price momentum17
Debt load5
Refinancing55
Debt Payback70
Liquidity76
Analyst ratings91
Opinion Changes26
Price Target Upside94
Market mood100
Value Creation12/20creating some value
  • Creates more value than its capital costs
  • Owner earnings growing
  • Owner earnings per share growing
  • Reinvests at strong returns
  • Solid earnings base

What this means

Vistra Energy clears its cost of capital, but the record is mixed across the five tests. Real value creation, just not yet consistent.

Profile

CountryUSA
IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
SizeLarge
TypePublic Company
ExchangeNYSE
Founded2016
Employees2,305
ISINUS92840M1027
Last UpdateApr 2, 2026
Themes
Energy ManagementEnergy StorageEnergy EfficiencyBattery Energy Storage System (BESS)Power GridUtility Scale SolarOnshore and Offshore WindConventional NuclearEnergyRenewable EnergySustainability

Description

Vistra Corp. (Vistra) is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. The company's integrated power generation and wholesale operation allows it to efficiently obtain the electricity needed to serve its customers at the lowest cos…

Analysis

Quality compounder

Vistra Corp. earns the quality_compounder label: good underlying economics priced fairly, with no obvious bargain or excess. Worth noting: the cash the business generates has lagged behind what the income statement shows.

On valuation, the picture is fair. The owner-earnings multiple stands at 21.1×; owner earnings: the cash an owner could take out each year. The implied growth embedded in that price is around 7% a year, against analyst forecasts of 45%. The price, in other words, assumes less than the experts do.

Growth is solid; the safety picture is adequate. The company scores 12/20 on our value-creation score: creating some value. Analysts lean positive.

Flags to be aware of: Reported profits have run ahead of actual cash for several periods. As always: this describes the company's numbers; it is not a recommendation.

360° rank · history

1007550250
75
2023202420252026

All-time high

86

Jan 2024

All-time low

51

Mar 2026

Average rank

72

across all years

Detailed & Historical Ranks

Deep dive into 15 detailed ranks and 3 years of history.

Current202520242023
Price/Sales
58
33
95
100
Price/Earnings
51
15
93
87
Price/Book
11
1
7
83
Dividend Yield
37
7
22
55
Value (overall)
40
7
60
97

Cells are coloured by rank band (red weak → green strong). Sentiment & 360° history begins 2023.

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Make Sense of the Ranks

Every rank runs 1–100 against true peers. Higher is always better.

360° View
1 · Watch OutGood· 100
Value
1 · ExpensiveGood Value· 100
Quality
1 · Weak FundamentalsHigh Quality· 100
Growth
1 · Tough TimesHigh Growth· 100
Safety
1 · High LeverageWell-Financed· 100
Sentiment
1 · SkepticismPositive· 100
Learn More →