Obermatt

PCA

NYQ:PKG · US6951561090
Containers & PackagingSmall

360

48
EV / EBIT18
Price / Owner Earnings7
Owner Earnings Yield27
Dividend Yield75
Price/Sales26
EV / Gross Profit2
Price/Book19
Return on Capital88
Cash Return on Capital53
Return on Equity86
EBIT Margin89
Gross Profitability53
Cash Conversion51
Accruals1
Owner Earnings Margin53
Sales growth72
Profit Growth84
Long-Term EPS Growth80
Owner Earnings Growth22
Reinvestment69
Price momentum61
Debt load44
Refinancing31
Debt Payback40
Liquidity85
Analyst ratings71
Opinion Changes83
Price Target Upside4
Market mood51
Value Creation12/20creating some value
  • Creates more value than its capital costs
  • Owner earnings growing
  • Owner earnings per share growing
  • Reinvests at strong returns
  • Solid earnings base

What this means

PCA clears its cost of capital, but the record is mixed across the five tests. Real value creation, just not yet consistent.

Profile

CountryUSA
IndustryContainers & Packaging
SizeSmall
TypePublic Company
ExchangeNYSE
Founded1999
Employees3,717
ISINUS6951561090
Last UpdateApr 2, 2026
Themes
Packaging ServicesBiomass EnergyBusiness DevelopmentManufacturing

Description

Packaging Corporation of America produces containerboard products and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper in North America. Segments The company operates through three segments: Packaging, Paper, and Corporate and Other. Packaging Packaging Products…

Analysis

Hope premium

Packaging Corporation of America carries what we call a hope premium: an average business trading at an ambitious price. One caution: reported profits have recently run ahead of actual cash, which we track closely.

The price is expensive. You pay 36.9× its owner earnings: the cash an owner could take out each year, which is in the historically expensive zone. At today's price, the market is assuming roughly 14% yearly growth; analysts expect 10%. The gap between price and consensus is worth watching: demanding expectations.

The trajectory is solid and the balance sheet is adequate. The company scores 12/20 on our value-creation score: creating some value.

What to watch: The financial cushion is thinner than comfortable. Reported profits have run ahead of actual cash for several periods. As always: this describes the company's numbers; it is not a recommendation.

360° rank · history

1007550250
80
2023202420252026

All-time high

89

Mar 2026

All-time low

11

Jan 2023

Average rank

65

across all years

Detailed & Historical Ranks

Deep dive into 15 detailed ranks and 3 years of history.

Current202520242023
Price/Sales
26
19
9
31
Price/Earnings
17
23
17
35
Price/Book
19
20
20
28
Dividend Yield
75
69
73
87
Value (overall)
16
9
10
23

Cells are coloured by rank band (red weak → green strong). Sentiment & 360° history begins 2023.

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Make Sense of the Ranks

Every rank runs 1–100 against true peers. Higher is always better.

360° View
1 · Watch OutGood· 100
Value
1 · ExpensiveGood Value· 100
Quality
1 · Weak FundamentalsHigh Quality· 100
Growth
1 · Tough TimesHigh Growth· 100
Safety
1 · High LeverageWell-Financed· 100
Sentiment
1 · SkepticismPositive· 100
Learn More →