Obermatt

Flags

Earnings warningFinancial distress

Transurban

ASX:TCL · AU000000TCL6
Transportation InfrastructureX-Large

360

24
EV / EBIT1
Price / Owner Earnings38
Owner Earnings Yield42
Dividend Yield85
Price/Sales3
EV / Gross Profit1
Price/Book1
Return on Capital15
Cash Return on Capital44
Return on Equity14
EBIT Margin79
Gross Profitability8
Cash Conversion85
Accruals73
Owner Earnings Margin100
Sales growth71
Profit Growth81
Long-Term EPS Growth100
Owner Earnings Growth80
Reinvestment8
Price momentum55
Debt load10
Refinancing41
Debt Payback15
Liquidity23
Analyst ratings35
Opinion Changes50
Price Target Upside9
Market mood92
Value Creation10/20creating some value
  • Creates more value than its capital costs
  • Owner earnings growing
  • Owner earnings per share growing
  • Reinvests at strong returns
  • Solid earnings base

What this means

Transurban clears its cost of capital, but the record is mixed across the five tests. Real value creation, just not yet consistent.

Profile

CountryAustralia
IndustryTransportation Infrastructure
SizeX-Large
TypePublic Company
ExchangeASX
Founded2001
Employees1,967
ISINAU000000TCL6
Last UpdateApr 2, 2026
Themes
Freight ServiceFleet ManagementPublic TransportationRailroadTransportation

Description

Transurban Group primarily engages in the development, operation, management, and maintenance of toll road networks in Australia and North America. Business Segments The company operates through two principal business segments: Transurban Holdings…

Analysis

Hope premium

Transurban Group carries what we call a hope premium: an average business trading at an ambitious price.

The price is expensive. You pay 35.7× its owner earnings: the cash an owner could take out each year, which is in the historically expensive zone. At today's price, the market is assuming roughly 14% yearly growth; analysts expect 92%. The price, in other words, assumes less than the experts do.

The trajectory is solid and the balance sheet is fragile. The company scores 10/20 on our value-creation score: creating some value.

Nothing is flagged here: no red or amber gates, no divergence between profits and cash. That is itself information: the numbers are straightforward. As always: this describes the company's numbers; it is not a recommendation.

360° rank · history

1007550250
39
2023202420252026

All-time high

47

Feb 2026

All-time low

1

Jan 2026

Average rank

12

across all years

Detailed & Historical Ranks

Deep dive into 15 detailed ranks and 3 years of history.

Current202520242023
Price/Sales
3
5
7
7
Price/Earnings
1
3
1
3
Price/Book
1
3
10
12
Dividend Yield
85
87
79
87
Value (overall)
11
20
19
25

Cells are coloured by rank band (red weak → green strong). Sentiment & 360° history begins 2023.

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Make Sense of the Ranks

Every rank runs 1–100 against true peers. Higher is always better.

360° View
1 · Watch OutGood· 100
Value
1 · ExpensiveGood Value· 100
Quality
1 · Weak FundamentalsHigh Quality· 100
Growth
1 · Tough TimesHigh Growth· 100
Safety
1 · High LeverageWell-Financed· 100
Sentiment
1 · SkepticismPositive· 100
Learn More →