Obermatt

Flags

Financial distress

XPO Logistics

NYQ:XPO · US9837931008
Transportation InfrastructureX-Large

360

79
EV / EBIT7
Price / Owner Earnings9
Owner Earnings Yield49
Dividend Yield1
Price/Sales27
EV / Gross Profit2
Price/Book11
Return on Capital84
Cash Return on Capital72
Return on Equity87
EBIT Margin39
Gross Profitability76
Cash Conversion76
Accruals83
Owner Earnings Margin61
Sales growth48
Profit Growth73
Long-Term EPS Growth84
Owner Earnings Growth88
Reinvestment16
Price momentum81
Debt load7
Refinancing25
Debt Payback44
Liquidity37
Analyst ratings69
Opinion Changes30
Price Target Upside35
Market mood73
Value Creation12/20creating some value
  • Creates more value than its capital costs
  • Owner earnings growing
  • Owner earnings per share growing
  • Reinvests at strong returns
  • Solid earnings base

What this means

XPO Logistics clears its cost of capital, but the record is mixed across the five tests. Real value creation, just not yet consistent.

Profile

CountryUSA
IndustryTransportation Infrastructure
SizeX-Large
TypePublic Company
ExchangeNYSE
Employees11,482
Websitexpo.com
ISINUS9837931008
Last UpdateApr 2, 2026
Themes
Predictive AnalyticsFreight ServiceLast Mile TransportationFleet ManagementLogisticsShipping Broker

Description

XPO, Inc. (XPO), together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services. The company uses its proprietary technology to move goods efficiently through supply chains for approximately 55,000 customers in North America and Europe. T…

Analysis

Beloved champion

XPO, Inc. sits in the top corner of our grid: excellent business, premium price; every investor already knows the story.

On valuation, the picture is expensive. The owner-earnings multiple stands at 86.5×; owner earnings: the cash an owner could take out each year. The implied growth embedded in that price is around 26% a year, against analyst forecasts of 16%. The market is pricing in far more than analysts expect: heroic expectations.

Growth is solid; the safety picture is adequate. The company scores 12/20 on our value-creation score: creating some value.

No flags apply to this company at this time: accounts, balance sheet, and cash quality all pass. A clean bill of health is meaningful, not just the absence of a warning. This analysis describes numbers; it is not investment advice.

360° rank · history

1007550250
6
2023202420252026

All-time high

64

Jan 2023

All-time low

1

Feb 2026

Average rank

18

across all years

Detailed & Historical Ranks

Deep dive into 15 detailed ranks and 3 years of history.

Current202520242023
Price/Sales
27
21
42
92
Price/Earnings
9
9
24
82
Price/Book
11
7
13
68
Dividend Yield
1
1
1
1
Value (overall)
3
1
10
71

Cells are coloured by rank band (red weak → green strong). Sentiment & 360° history begins 2023.

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Make Sense of the Ranks

Every rank runs 1–100 against true peers. Higher is always better.

360° View
1 · Watch OutGood· 100
Value
1 · ExpensiveGood Value· 100
Quality
1 · Weak FundamentalsHigh Quality· 100
Growth
1 · Tough TimesHigh Growth· 100
Safety
1 · High LeverageWell-Financed· 100
Sentiment
1 · SkepticismPositive· 100
Learn More →