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Flags

Financial distress

Geo Group

NYQ:GEO · US36162J1060
Commercial Services & SuppliesLarge

360

55
EV / EBIT35
Price / Owner Earnings64
Owner Earnings Yield47
Dividend Yield1
Price/Sales56
EV / Gross Profit22
Price/Book62
Return on Capital41
Cash Return on Capital47
Return on Equity76
EBIT Margin66
Gross Profitability23
Cash Conversion6
Accruals53
Owner Earnings Margin73
Sales growth92
Profit Growth46
Long-Term EPS Growth76
Owner Earnings Growth88
Reinvestment18
Price momentum57
Debt load44
Refinancing65
Debt Payback37
Liquidity32
Analyst ratings100
Opinion Changes50
Price Target Upside17
Market mood65
Value Creation14/20strong value creator
  • Creates more value than its capital costs
  • Owner earnings growing
  • Owner earnings per share growing
  • Reinvests at strong returns
  • Solid earnings base

What this means

Geo Group generates returns well above its cost of capital, the foundation of durable shareholder value.

Profile

CountryUSA
IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
SizeLarge
TypePublic Company
ExchangeNYSE
Founded1984
Employees3,532
Websitegeogroup.com
ISINUS36162J1060
Last UpdateApr 2, 2026
Index & Theme
Physical SecurityHomeland SecurityGPSGovTechFinanceMedicalSecurity

Description

The GEO Group, Inc. (‘GEO’) specializes in the ownership, leasing and management of secure facilities, processing centers and reentry facilities and the provision of community-based services in the United States, Australia and South Africa. The comp…

Analysis

Middle-of-the-road

The GEO Group, Inc. sits in the middle of our grid: average quality, average price, no obvious signal in either direction.

On valuation, the picture is fair. The owner-earnings multiple stands at 17.1×; owner earnings: the cash an owner could take out each year. The implied growth embedded in that price is around 4% a year, against analyst forecasts of 14%. The price, in other words, assumes less than the experts do.

Growth is solid; the safety picture is stretched. The company scores 14/20 on our value-creation score: strong value creator. Analysts lean positive.

Flags to be aware of: Some accounting patterns deserve a closer look. Reported profits have run ahead of actual cash for several periods. As always: this describes the company's numbers; it is not a recommendation.

360° rank · history

1007550250
77
2023202420252026

All-time high

77

Jun 2026

All-time low

14

Jan 2025

Average rank

45

across all years

Detailed & Historical Ranks

Deep dive into 15 detailed ranks and 3 years of history.

Current202520242023
Price/Sales
56
82
100
100
Price/Earnings
46
55
74
95
Price/Book
62
28
59
80
Dividend Yield
1
1
1
1
Value (overall)
40
35
57
76

Cells are coloured by rank band (red weak → green strong). Sentiment & 360° history begins 2023.

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Make Sense of the Ranks

Every rank runs 1–100 against true peers. Higher is always better.

360° View
1 · Watch OutGood· 100
Value
1 · ExpensiveGood Value· 100
Quality
1 · Weak FundamentalsHigh Quality· 100
Growth
1 · Tough TimesHigh Growth· 100
Safety
1 · High LeverageWell-Financed· 100
Sentiment
1 · SkepticismPositive· 100
Learn More →